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27th September 2017, 03:04 PM
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Join Date: Aug 2012
Re: FIJI Met Service

As you Asking for the Information About the Tropical Cyclone Outlook of the FIJI Met Service the Information is given below

The Tropical Cyclone (TC) activity in the 2016/17TC season within the Regional Specialized Meteorological Center Nadi Tropical Cyclone Centre (RSMC Nadi-TCC) Area of Responsibility (AoR) (Equator to 25 South between 160 East and 120 West) is anticipated to be near average with high confidence.

Tropical cyclone genesis trough is expected to be shifted to the west of the Dateline during the2016/17season. This outlook is based on the status of the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) over the preceding July to September period.

Analogue Years

In summary, based on the historical tropical cyclone data, the predictions for the upcoming 2016/17tropical
cyclone season are as follows:
Near Average TC occurrence in the RSMC-Nadi TCC AoR in the 2016/17season is anticipated;
Five to seven (5 to 7) TCs are expected to occur in the RSMC-Nadi TCC AoR;
Three to five (3-5) TCs may reach category 3 status, with one to two possibly attaining category 4
or 5;
Elevated TC risk anticipated for Fiji and Tonga;
Normal TC activity is expected for Cook Islands, New Caledonia, Niue, Samoa, Solomon Islands,
Tokelau, Vanuatu and Wallis & Futuna;
Reduced TC risk likely for French Polynesia and Tuvalu;
There is elevated risk of severe TCs for Solomon Islands this season;
Normal risk for severe TCs is expected for Cook Islands, Fiji, New Caledonia, Niue, Samoa,
Tokelau, Tonga, Vanuatu and Wallis & Futuna regions;


Risk Areas

Country Risk
Kiribati Low
French Polynesia Reduced
Tuvalu Reduced
New Caledonia Normal
Niue Normal
Samoa Normal
Solomon Islands Normal
Tokelau Normal
Vanuatu Normal
Wallis & Futuna Normal
Fiji Elevated
Tonga Elevated

Information About the Tropical Cyclone Outlook of the FIJI Met Servic






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