#1
27th September 2017, 02:16 PM
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FIJI Met Service
Hii sir, I Wants to get the Information About the Tropical Cyclone Outlook of the FIJI Met Service ?
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#2
27th September 2017, 03:04 PM
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Re: FIJI Met Service
As you Asking for the Information About the Tropical Cyclone Outlook of the FIJI Met Service the Information is given below The Tropical Cyclone (TC) activity in the 2016/17TC season within the Regional Specialized Meteorological Center Nadi Tropical Cyclone Centre (RSMC Nadi-TCC) Area of Responsibility (AoR) (Equator to 25 South between 160 East and 120 West) is anticipated to be near average with high confidence. Tropical cyclone genesis trough is expected to be shifted to the west of the Dateline during the2016/17season. This outlook is based on the status of the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) over the preceding July to September period. Analogue Years In summary, based on the historical tropical cyclone data, the predictions for the upcoming 2016/17tropical cyclone season are as follows: Near Average TC occurrence in the RSMC-Nadi TCC AoR in the 2016/17season is anticipated; Five to seven (5 to 7) TCs are expected to occur in the RSMC-Nadi TCC AoR; Three to five (3-5) TCs may reach category 3 status, with one to two possibly attaining category 4 or 5; Elevated TC risk anticipated for Fiji and Tonga; Normal TC activity is expected for Cook Islands, New Caledonia, Niue, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Tokelau, Vanuatu and Wallis & Futuna; Reduced TC risk likely for French Polynesia and Tuvalu; There is elevated risk of severe TCs for Solomon Islands this season; Normal risk for severe TCs is expected for Cook Islands, Fiji, New Caledonia, Niue, Samoa, Tokelau, Tonga, Vanuatu and Wallis & Futuna regions; Risk Areas Country Risk Kiribati Low French Polynesia Reduced Tuvalu Reduced New Caledonia Normal Niue Normal Samoa Normal Solomon Islands Normal Tokelau Normal Vanuatu Normal Wallis & Futuna Normal Fiji Elevated Tonga Elevated Information About the Tropical Cyclone Outlook of the FIJI Met Servic |